Israel–Iran War 2025: Timeline & Analysis

🕊️ How It Started

Start Date: June 13, 2025

Israel initiated a surprise airstrike—Operation Rising Lion—targeting Iranian nuclear and military facilities. This came after the IAEA declared Iran in violation of its nuclear obligations and a 60-day stall in negotiations.

Immediate Causes:

• Israel claimed Iran was nearing nuclear weapons capability.
• The IAEA publicly confirmed Iran’s non-compliance.
• Jerusalem launched the operation after peace talks failed.

⚔️ What Triggered It?

Before June 13, conflict was proxy-based. The escalation began with:

• April 2024: Iran’s direct missile/drone strike on Israel from Iran, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen—after Israel attacked its consulate in Damascus.
• October 2024: Israel responded with strikes inside Iran (nuclear/missile infrastructure).
• By mid-2025: Full-scale Israeli offensive commenced.

🔁 Early Phase & Recent Progress (June 13–15, 2025)

🗓️ June 13 Morning:

• Israel struck complexes near Tehran, killing IRGC commander Hossein Salami and nuclear scientists.

🗓️ June 13 Evening:

• Iran retaliated with ~150 ballistic missiles and 100 drones (Operation True Promise 3).
• Iron Dome intercepted most; 22 Israelis wounded.

🗓️ June 14–15:

• Israel hit 80+ Iranian military, nuclear, oil, and gas sites.
• Iran responded with 200+ additional drones and missiles.

📊 Casualties

• Iran: Estimated 300–400+ dead, hundreds wounded.
• Israel: ~14 confirmed dead, 400+ injured. Major damage in Tel Aviv, Haifa, Bat Yam.
• Mossad-led drone raids took out several Iranian missile systems before Israeli airstrikes.

⚠️ Why It Matters

• This is the first direct, non-proxy war between Israel and Iran.
• Full-scale warfare includes missiles, drones, intelligence, and cyber components.
• Houthi militia involvement raises fears of regional spillover.
• President Trump vetoed Israeli assassination plans targeting Iran’s Supreme Leader—but expressed full defense support.

🔎 Current Status

• The war continues with no ceasefire announced.
• Each side has vowed continued attacks unless the other stops first.
• International pressure for de-escalation is intensifying.

Israel–Iran War 2025: How It Started and Where It Stands (Day 4)

How It Started

Preemptive Strike – Operation Rising Lion (June 13–14, 2025)

Israel launched air and drone strikes deep into Iran, targeting nuclear sites, surface-to-surface missile (SSM) infrastructure, senior military leaders, and IRGC command posts—including its chief intelligence officer. This marked a dramatic escalation beyond usual covert operations.

Iran’s Retaliation

• Fired over 150 ballistic missiles and more than 100 drones at Israeli territory.
• Followed up with subsequent waves of missile barrages and drone swarms.

⚔️ Current Status (Day 4)

Major Casualties

• Iran: ~224 dead (mostly civilians), ~1,200–1,300 wounded.
• Israel: At least 14 dead, ~390 casualties.

Notable Strikes

• Iran hit Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Jerusalem—resulting in civilian deaths and damage to infrastructure, including power plant fires.
• Israel responded with strikes across Tehran, Mashhad, Isfahan, and Iranian oil refineries targeting command centers and military/nuclear sites.

Air Defense & Tactical Moves

• Israel intercepted over 100 Iranian UAVs; 20–22 missiles penetrated Iron Dome.
• Israel has achieved air superiority over Western Iran.
• Iran claims to have applied "new methods" to breach Israeli defenses.

Diplomatic Maneuvers

• U.S. President Trump vetoed a proposed Israeli plan to assassinate Ayatollah Khamenei.
• G7 and EU foreign ministers are actively discussing de-escalation and renewed nuclear talks.
• Iran stated it will halt attacks if Israel stops its strikes.

✅ Summary of Current Progress

• Israel initiated large-scale drone and air strikes targeting Iran’s military infrastructure.
• Iran retaliated with heavy missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities.
• Mounting casualties and significant damage on both sides.
• Israel has gained tactical advantage but conflict remains active.
• Global powers urging restraint amidst rising regional escalation fears.